Dede Scozzafava, the GOP nominee for Congress in the NY-23 special election on Tuesday, has dropped out.  With her out of the race, she can no longer play spoiler and the race becomes a 1-on-1 between Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman and the Democrat-endorsed independent Bill Owens.

This increases the likelihood of a Hoffman win dramatically.

Tuesday night could be a very, VERY good night for conservatives…

From NRO’s Campaign Spot:

Virginia Democratic senator Mark Warner has an extraordinarily well-timed case of the flu, keeping him from a day’s worth of events with increasingly doomed gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds.

Barring any last minute polls released on Monday, here is what the final polls showed.  We’ll see who the most accurate was on Tuesday night.

These polls result in a Virginia Virtucon poll average of a 13.2% lead for Bob McDonnell.  If we are to remove the oldest three polls that were all taken before 10/21, McDonnell’s average increases to 14.4%.

You’ll notice that Creigh “What’s In Your Wallet?” Deeds only reached as high as 44 percent in two polls — the Daily Kos and WashPo.  If undecideds who actually vote break for McDonnell as part of a bandwagon effect, Deeds may go down in history as having received the lowest vote total of any Democrat candidate for governor of Virginia in the past 40 years.  Conversely, if that happens, McDonnell stands a chance of besting the record set by George Allen in 1993 for the highest vote total of any Republican candidate in the past 40 years.  It is conceivable, but by no means certain, that McDonnell could garner 59-60 percent of the vote on Tuesday night.

Albert “The Trashman” Pollard is feeling pretty complacent today in his reelection race.  Apparently, he only has his eye on Catherine “The Oklahoma City Bombing Truther” Crabill and not on the surging write-in candidacy of Ham Sandwich.  Today, Pollard had planned on earning his nickname as he goes around the district picking up trash –

Warsaw
8:30 AM-10 AM, October 31st
Intersection of Highway 360 and Highway 3 in the BP parking lot.

Montross
10:30 AM-11:30 AM, October 31st
Montross Food Lion Parking Lot, 18044 Kings Highway

King George
12 PM-1 PM, October 31st
Peace Lutheran Church Parking Lot, 5590 Kings Highway

However, one of his longtime friends has passed away and Del. Pollard will be attending the funeral instead.  Our condolences go out to him for his loss.

That being said, if you live in the 99th Dist., be sure to tell all your family, friends and neighbors to write-in Ham Sandwich for Delegate this Tuesday!



AMTRAK is objecting to losing their contract to run the Virginia Railway Express.  Now get this — they are objecting on grounds that the winner does not have any experience operating a train system in the U.S.

Let me repeat that, they are objecting because the winner has no experience running trains in the U.S.

By that definition, only AMTRAK could be awarded this contract since they have a government monopoly on passenger train service.  And we all know just how cost efficient AMTRAK is.

The winning bidder, Keolis

employs more than 40,000 people and operates bus, trolley and train service in France and several other European counties. It operates more than 5,000 trains a day and moves 360 million passengers a year. Its parent company is SNCF, which operates high-speed rail service in France.

I’d say those are pretty solid qualifications.

Tim Murtaugh at RPV sent out the following message this afternoon to the statewide press pool:

Reporters –

I found this interesting.  Our candidate in  the 52^nd House District in Northern Virginia, Rafael Lopez, has a new ad that links himself to Bob McDonnell and ties opponent Luke Torian to Creigh Deeds.

For whatever that tells you.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vpYzEYujREM&feature=player_embedded

Additionally, our house candidates are increasingly using this strategy in other communications, including direct mail, statewide – particularly highlighting their association with Bob.

Keep your eyes on Bob McDonnell’s coattails Tuesday night.  They could be long…